Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 85.139205 95.127889 105.336706 116.520362 128.397416 140.606026 154.075344
2025-01-26 71.877164 86.514786 102.114462 119.854477 139.350919 160.015315 183.464875
2025-02-02 63.891844 81.265877 100.350987 122.623741 147.666739 174.738665 206.004070
2025-02-09 55.463521 74.420304 95.851216 121.462143 150.849221 183.165157 221.047333
2025-02-16 48.611782 68.641298 91.902122 120.303887 153.482125 190.509043 234.464385
2025-02-23 43.984368 65.045216 90.095755 121.256092 158.211006 199.959103 250.030661
2025-03-02 39.480549 61.189242 87.633693 121.126347 161.421842 207.465871 263.214961
2025-03-09 35.958497 58.269745 86.060199 121.839710 165.441511 215.764924 277.197510
2025-03-16 31.958472 54.399232 83.034524 120.546855 166.871838 220.888247 287.377999
2025-03-23 29.674979 52.644381 82.545198 122.267321 171.840545 230.108896 302.293909
2025-03-30 27.749093 51.225491 82.369943 124.284979 177.100955 239.631421 317.542881
2025-04-06 24.937182 48.332748 80.085377 123.477719 178.769051 244.775087 327.555658
2025-04-13 21.680592 44.566576 76.476648 120.860052 178.133476 247.141816 334.314792
2025-04-20 20.929789 44.512006 77.900795 124.798591 185.737022 259.530647 353.110919
2025-04-27 19.865923 43.882505 78.464559 127.556484 191.820117 270.055988 369.676709
2025-05-04 17.685364 41.305998 76.156825 126.378465 192.803817 274.268733 378.585477
2025-05-11 15.704701 38.875557 73.923716 125.190125 193.687284 278.294165 387.220640
2025-05-18 14.484028 37.617206 73.320182 126.165886 197.333178 285.723836 399.994036
2025-05-25 13.080505 35.912186 71.964410 126.032931 199.480365 291.250683 410.421728
2025-06-01 12.002024 34.689838 71.265716 126.763712 202.727652 298.137378 422.513923
2025-06-08 10.548783 32.621431 69.167335 125.439270 203.190860 301.471783 430.196412
2025-06-15 9.875312 31.986668 69.257706 127.201740 207.753824 309.993937 444.308275
2025-06-22 9.310126 31.514119 69.572926 129.268364 212.717937 319.030476 459.074731